TY - JOUR PY - 1982// TI - A pure probabilistic model of trip tours by automobile JO - Transportation planning and technology A1 - Horowitz, Alan J. SP - 99 EP - 108 VL - 7 IS - 2 N2 - A mathematical model of automobile trip tours is presented. Within a framework of eight common restrictions on automobile trip making, all travel behavior is assumed random and all of the ways in which tours can be arranged are assumed equally likely. Three probability distributions are derived from the model: (1) the probability that a household makes a given number of tours in a day; (2) the probability that a household makes a given number of trips in a day; and (3) the probability that a tour reaches a given number of destinations. It is shown that the model agrees with similar probability distributions generated from home?interview data for Milwaukee.

LA - en SN - 0308-1060 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03081068208717211 ID - ref1 ER -