TY - JOUR PY - 2011// TI - A predictive model to help identify intimate partner violence based on diagnoses and phone calls JO - American journal of preventive medicine A1 - Bhargava, Reena A1 - Temkin, Tanya L. A1 - Fireman, Bruce H. A1 - Eaton, Abigail A1 - McCaw, Brigid R. A1 - Kotz, Krista J. A1 - Amaral, Debbie SP - 129 EP - 135 VL - 41 IS - 2 N2 - BACKGROUND: Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a significant health problem but goes largely undiagnosed, undisclosed, and clinically undocumented. PURPOSE: To use historical data on diagnoses and telephone advice calls to develop a predictive model that identifies clinical profiles of women at high risk for undisclosed IPV. METHODS: A case-control study was conducted in women aged 18-44 years enrolled at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) in 2005-2006 using symptoms reported by telephone and clinical diagnosis from electronic medical records. Analysis was conducted in 2007-2010. Overall, 1276 cases were identified using ICD-9 codes for IPV and were matched with 5 controls each. A full multivariate model was developed to identify those with IPV, as well as a reduced model and a summed-score model whose performance characteristics were assessed. RESULTS: Predictors most highly associated with IPV were history of remote IPV (OR=7.8); calls or diagnoses for psychiatric problems (OR=2.4); calls for HIV concerns (OR=2.4); and clinical diagnoses of prenatal complications (OR=2.1). Using the summed-score model for a population with IPV prevalence of 7%, and using a threshold score of 3 for predicting IPV with a sensitivity of 75%, 9.7 women would need to be assessed to diagnose one case of IPV. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosed IPV was associated with a clinical profile based on both telephone call data and clinical diagnoses. The simple predictive model can prompt focused clinical inquiry and improve diagnosis of IPV in any clinical setting.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0749-3797 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2011.04.005 ID - ref1 ER -