TY - JOUR PY - 2005// TI - Terrorist threats and transitional dynamics in an overlapping generations model JO - Defence and peace economics A1 - Shieh, JY A1 - Chen, Joyce H. A1 - Chang, Jen Jen A1 - Lai, CC SP - 415 EP - 425 VL - 16 IS - 6 N2 - This paper incorporates the nature of terrorist threats into the Yarri (1965)-Blanchard (1985) model and uses it to discuss the transitional dynamics of consumption in response to an anticipated terrorist attack. It is shown that if the terrorist attack is pre-announced (and hence anticipated) and the public is fully informed, short-term consumption may misadjust from its long-term level. Before the terrorist attacks actually take place, households may be motivated to increase (rather than decrease) their consumption as a temporary response. This result may explain the temporary phenomenon of the increased consumption of certain types of goods in the period following September 11.
LA - SN - 1024-2694 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10242690500115956 ID - ref1 ER -