TY - JOUR PY - 1979// TI - Toward a General Theory of Armaments JO - Journal of peace research A1 - Kohler, Gernot SP - 117 EP - 135 VL - 16 IS - 2 N2 - Rising armaments are usually explained in terms of one of two basic paradigms -- inter national action-reaction ('arms race') or domestic causation ('autism' and similar). The present investigation assumes that 'arms race' and 'autism' explanations are both generally valid, that they are related to each other as 'thesis' and 'antithesis', and that a 'synthesis' (i. e. an overarching general theory) can be found which subsumes the two perspectives. A mathematical model is presented which can serve as a 'meta-model' or nucleus of such a general theory. The model is stated in terms of two structural-dynamic equations: Mat = B at {middle dot} Gat and Mat = (i {ddagger} e)at {middle dot} Gat, which entail both a cross-national and a diachronic dimension. They link military growth and global military structure (M) to economic growth and global economic structure (G) and other factors. It is shown, for purposes of illustration, how the model subsumes a mathematical arms race model by Lambelet, a Marxist theorem by Baran and Sweezy, and the 'ratchet effect of war' (Russett). Several hypotheses are generated pertaining to military-economic linkages.
LA - SN - 0022-3433 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/002234337901600203 ID - ref1 ER -