TY  - JOUR
PY  - 1999//
TI  - Hurting Stalemate or Mediation? The Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, 1990-95
JO  - Journal of peace research
A1  - Mooradian, M.
A1  - Druckman, D.
SP  - 709
EP  - 727
VL  - 36
IS  - 6
N2  - The impacts of six attempts to mediate the conflict over the political status of Nagorno-Karabakh in the Caucasus region of the former Soviet Union were compared. Each mediation was intended to get the direct parties - Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Nagorno-Karabakh - to the negotiating table. Nearly 4,000 events were recorded for a six-year period from 1990 through 1995. Each event was coded in terms of a six-step scale ranging from a significant action toward peace (+3) to substantial violence directed at an adversary (-3). Time-series analyses of changes in the extent of violence showed no change from before to after any of the mediations. A significant change did occur, however, between the months preceding and following the period of intensive combat between April 1993 and February 1994. These results support the hypothesis that a mutually hurting stalemate is a condition for negotiating a ceasefire and reduced violence between warring parties. A number of theoretical and practical implications of the findings are discussed.<p />
LA  - 
SN  - 0022-3433
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022343399036006007
ID  - ref1
ER  -