%0 Journal Article
%T The prediction of exit choice using cumulative prospect value
%J Journal of safety science and resilience
%D 2023
%A Gao, Dongli
%A Xie, Wei
%A Cao, Ruifeng
%A Lee, Eric Wai Ming
%A Yuen, Richard Kwok Kit
%A Weng, Jingwen
%V 4
%N 1
%P 20-25
%X Exit choice is essential for pedestrian safety and evacuation efficiency during the context of an emergency. Cumulative prospect theory is a widespread realistic decision-making theory that can transform choice outcomes and probabilities into subjective terms and integrate them as a parameter of cumulative prospect value (CPV), which determines the decision. The main contribution of this paper is the use of the CPV to predict exit choice. Furthermore, the different decision-making rules including Max, exponential(Expo), and Ratio (i.e., the three variable choice functions) were summarized and examined. This study used a confusion matrix to compare the predicted results with experimental data. Consequently, the parameters of Accuracy and F1-score showed that the predictions from Max and Expo were significantly more realistic while the results from Ratio were much more robust.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>
%G en
%I Elsevier Publishing
%@ 2096-7527
%U http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.09.003