@article{ref1,
title="The prediction of exit choice using cumulative prospect value",
journal="Journal of safety science and resilience",
year="2023",
author="Gao, Dongli and Xie, Wei and Cao, Ruifeng and Lee, Eric Wai Ming and Yuen, Richard Kwok Kit and Weng, Jingwen",
volume="4",
number="1",
pages="20-25",
abstract="Exit choice is essential for pedestrian safety and evacuation efficiency during the context of an emergency. Cumulative prospect theory is a widespread realistic decision-making theory that can transform choice outcomes and probabilities into subjective terms and integrate them as a parameter of cumulative prospect value (CPV), which determines the decision. The main contribution of this paper is the use of the CPV to predict exit choice. Furthermore, the different decision-making rules including Max, exponential(Expo), and Ratio (i.e., the three variable choice functions) were summarized and examined. This study used a confusion matrix to compare the predicted results with experimental data. Consequently, the parameters of Accuracy and F1-score showed that the predictions from Max and Expo were significantly more realistic while the results from Ratio were much more robust.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2096-7527",
doi="10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.09.003",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jnlssr.2022.09.003"
}