@article{ref1,
title="Unravelling the influence of human behaviour on reducing casualties during flood evacuation",
journal="Hydrological Sciences Journal",
year="2020",
author="Alonso Vicario, S. and Mazzoleni, M. and Bhamidipati, S. and Gharesifard, M. and Ridolfi, E. and Pandolfo, C. and Alfonso, L.",
volume="65",
number="14",
pages="2359-2375",
abstract="Floods are the natural hazards that are causing the most deaths worldwide. Flood early warning systems are one of the most cost-efficient methods to reduce death rates, triggering decisions about the evacuation of exposed population. Although previous studies have investigated the effect of human behaviours on evacuation processes, studies analysing a combination of behaviours, flood onset and warning timing are limited. Our objective is to explore how changes on the aforementioned factors can affect casualties. This is done within a modelling framework that includes an agent-based model, a hydraulic model, and a traffic model, which is implemented for the case study of Orvieto (Italy). The results show that the number of casualties is most impacted by people's behaviour. Besides, we found that a delay of 30 min in releasing the warning can boost the number of casualties up to six times. These results may help managers to propose effective emergency plans.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0262-6667",
doi="10.1080/02626667.2020.1810254",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1810254"
}