@article{ref1,
title="Derivation and validation of a brief emergency department-based prediction tool for posttraumatic stress after motor vehicle collision",
journal="Annals of emergency medicine",
year="2022",
author="Jones, Christopher W. and An, Xinming and Ji, Yinyao and Liu, Mochuan and Zeng, Donglin and House, Stacey L. and Beaudoin, Francesca L. and Stevens, Jennifer S. and Neylan, Thomas C. and Clifford, Gari D. and Jovanovic, Tanja and Linnstaedt, Sarah D. and Germine, Laura T. and Bollen, Kenneth A. and Rauch, Scott L. and Haran, John P. and Storrow, Alan B. and Lewandowski, Christopher and Musey, Paul I. Jr and Hendry, Phyllis L. and Sheikh, Sophia and Punches, Brittany E. and Lyons, Michael S. and Kurz, Michael C. and Swor, Robert A. and McGrath, Meghan E. and Hudak, Lauren A. and Pascual, Jose L. and Seamon, Mark J. and Datner, Elizabeth M. and Harris, Erica and Chang, Anna M. and Pearson, Claire and Peak, David A. and Merchant, Roland C. and Domeier, Robert M. and Rathlev, Niels K. and O'Neil, Brian J. and Sergot, Paulina and Sanchez, Leon D. and Bruce, Steven E. and Miller, Mark W. and Pietrzak, Robert H. and Joormann, Jutta and Barch, Deanna M. and Pizzagalli, Diego A. and Sheridan, John F. and Smoller, Jordan W. and Harte, Steven E. and Elliott, James M. and Koenen, Karestan C. and Ressler, Kerry J. and Kessler, Ronald C. and McLean, Samuel A.",
volume="ePub",
number="ePub",
pages="ePub-ePub",
abstract="STUDY OBJECTIVE: To derive and initially validate a brief bedside clinical decision support tool that identifies emergency department patients at high risk of substantial, persistent posttraumatic stress symptoms after a motor vehicle collision. <br><br>METHODS: Derivation (n=1,282, 19 ED sites) and validation (n=282, 11 separate ED sites) data were obtained from adults prospectively enrolled in the Advancing Understanding of RecOvery afteR traumA study who were discharged from the ED after motor vehicle collision-related trauma. The primary outcome was substantial posttraumatic stress symptoms at 3 months (Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Checklist for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-5 ≥38). Logistic regression derivation models were evaluated for discriminative ability using the area under the curve and the accuracy of predicted risk probabilities (Brier score). Candidate posttraumatic stress predictors assessed in these models (n=265) spanned a range of sociodemographic, baseline health, peritraumatic, and mechanistic domains. The final model selection was based on performance and ease of administration. <br><br>RESULTS: Significant 3-month posttraumatic stress symptoms were common in the derivation (27%) and validation (26%) cohort. The area under the curve and Brier score of the final 8-question tool were 0.82 and 0.14 in the derivation cohort and 0.76 and 0.17 in the validation cohort. <br><br>CONCLUSION: This simple 8-question tool demonstrates promise to risk-stratify individuals with substantial posttraumatic stress symptoms who are discharged to home after a motor vehicle collision. Both external validation of this instrument, and work to further develop more accurate tools, are needed. Such tools might benefit public health by enabling the conduct of preventive intervention trials and assisting the growing number of EDs that provide services to trauma survivors aimed at promoting psychological recovery.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0196-0644",
doi="10.1016/j.annemergmed.2022.08.011",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.annemergmed.2022.08.011"
}