@article{ref1,
title="Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfires in a warming climate",
journal="Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America",
year="2022",
author="Xie, Yuanyu and Lin, Meiyun and Decharme, Bertrand and Delire, Christine and Horowitz, Larry W. and Lawrence, David M. and Li, Fang and Séférian, Roland",
volume="119",
number="14",
pages="e2111372119-e2111372119",
abstract="SignificanceRecord-setting fires in the western United States over the last decade caused severe air pollution, loss of human life, and property damage. Enhanced drought and increased biomass in a warmer climate may fuel larger and more frequent wildfires in the coming decades. Applying an empirical statistical model to fires projected by Earth System Models including climate-ecosystem-socioeconomic interactions, we show that fine particulate pollution over the US Pacific Northwest could double to triple during late summer to fall by the late 21st century under intermediate- and low-mitigation scenarios. The historic fires and resulting pollution extremes of 2017-2020 could occur every 3 to 5 y under 21st-century climate change, posing challenges for air quality management and threatening public health.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0027-8424",
doi="10.1073/pnas.2111372119",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2111372119"
}