@article{ref1,
title="Development, and internal, and external validation of a scoring system to predict  30-day mortality after having a traffic accident traveling by private car or van: an  analysis of 164,790 subjects and 79,664 accidents",
journal="International journal of environmental research and public health",
year="2020",
author="Palazón-Bru, Antonio and Prieto-Castelló, María José and Folgado-de la Rosa, David Manuel and Macanás-Martínez, Ana and Mares-García, Emma and Carbonell-Torregrosa, María de Los Ángeles and Gil-Guillén, Vicente Francisco and Cardona-Llorens, Antonio and Marhuenda-Amorós, Dolores",
volume="17",
number="24",
pages="e9518-e9518",
abstract="Predictive factors for fatal traffic accidents have been determined, but not  addressed collectively through a predictive model to help determine the probability  of mortality and thereby ascertain key points for intervening and decreasing that  probability. Data on all road traffic accidents with victims involving a private car  or van occurring in Spain in 2015 (164,790 subjects and 79,664 accidents) were  analyzed, evaluating 30-day mortality following the accident. As candidate  predictors of mortality, variables associated with the accident (weekend, time,  number of vehicles, road, brightness, and weather) associated with the vehicle (type  and age of vehicle, and other types of vehicles in the accident) and associated with  individuals (gender, age, seat belt, and position in the vehicle) were examined. The  sample was divided into two groups. In one group, a logistic regression model  adapted to a points system was constructed and internally validated, and in the  other group the model was externally validated. The points system obtained good  discrimination and calibration in both the internal and the external validation. Consequently, a simple tool is available to determine the risk of mortality  following a traffic accident, which could be validated in other countries.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1661-7827",
doi="10.3390/ijerph17249518",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17249518"
}