@article{ref1,
title="Convergence dynamics of robbery rates in Mexico",
journal="Crime and delinquency",
year="2018",
author="Fondevila, Gustavo and Massa, Ricardo",
volume="64",
number="14",
pages="1925-1950",
abstract="This work presents a time-series convergence (divergence) analysis for robbery rates in Mexico. Two distinctive features, in relation to previous studies, can be identified: first, the use of an autoregressive vector to better estimate the series dynamic compared with single-equation models, and second, the implementation of an escalation/de-escalation analysis is done using two variants of the same crime--high- and low-impact robberies. Our results suggest that modifications to the national security policy in Mexico have a direct--and rapid--effect on robbery crime trends. Moreover, the three phases of the dynamics between the rates coincide with the three major national security policies implemented in recent years: (a) 1997 to 2006, (b) 2007 to 2011, and (c) 2012 to 2018.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0011-1287",
doi="10.1177/0011128718757738",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0011128718757738"
}