@article{ref1,
title="Screening for risk: a comparison of methods",
journal="Criminal justice and behavior",
year="1980",
author="Gottfredson, Stephen D. and Gottfredson, Don M.",
volume="7",
number="3",
pages="315-330",
abstract="This study compares, within the context of parole decision-making, the predictive utility of five statistical methods commonly employed to develop correctional risk-screening devices: (a) two general linear additive models, (b) two configural models, and (c) a model based on a multivariate contingency approach. Devices felt to be operationally useful (at least potentially) were developed and cross-validated using large samples of federal releases. <br><br>RESULTS suggest that no apparent empirical advantage accrues given use of different models. Even when large amounts of error are randomly added to the predictor item-pool, substantive conclusions do not change. Further, most devices developed are highly intercorrelated. Implications for the practical development of screening instruments are discussed, and further research is suggested.<p /><p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0093-8548",
doi="10.1177/009385488000700306",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/009385488000700306"
}