@article{ref1,
title="Climate not to blame for African civil wars",
journal="Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America",
year="2010",
author="Buhaug, Halvard",
volume="107",
number="38",
pages="16477-16482",
abstract="Vocal actors within policy and practice contend that environmental variability and shocks, such as drought and prolonged heat waves, drive civil wars in Africa. Recently, a widely publicized scientific article appears to substantiate this claim. This paper investigates the empirical foundation for the claimed relationship in detail. Using a host of different model specifications and alternative measures of drought, heat, and civil war, the paper concludes that climate variability is a poor predictor of armed conflict. Instead, African civil wars can be explained by generic structural and contextual conditions: prevalent ethno-political exclusion, poor national economy, and the collapse of the Cold War system.<p /><p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0027-8424",
doi="10.1073/pnas.1005739107",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1005739107"
}