@article{ref1,
title="Correlates and Actuarial Models of Assaultive Prison Misconduct Among Violence-Predicted Capital Offenders",
journal="Criminal justice and behavior",
year="2011",
author="Cunningham, Mark D. and Sorensen, Jon R. and Vigen, Mark P. and Woods, S.O.",
volume="38",
number="1",
pages="5-25",
abstract="Correlates of prison violence and the classification accuracy of an actuarial model were examined from retrospective review of the disciplinary records of former death row inmates in Texas ( N = 111) who had been predicted to commit future violence at trial and subsequently obtained relief from their death sentences between 1989 and 2008. Correlates of &quot;potentially&quot; violent infractions included age (inversely), intellectual capability (inversely), prior violent crime arrest, and gun-only weapon used in murder (inversely). An actuarial scale constructed from the sample was modestly (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.690) associated with combined violence on death row and in the broader prison population, as were scales constructed previously from other samples (AUC = 0.609 to 0.656). Although AUCs for serious assaults in three models were relatively high (AUC = 0.799 to 0.831), low base rates result in these actuarial scales having high false positive rates (e.g., 76%) in identifying offenders who will commit serious prison assaults.<p />",
language="",
issn="0093-8548",
doi="10.1177/0093854810384830",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0093854810384830"
}