@article{ref1,
title="Does Serious Offending Lead to Homicide?: Exploring the Interrelationships and Sequencing of Serious Crime",
journal="British journal of criminology",
year="2008",
author="Soothill, K. and Francis, Brian and Liu, Juhua",
volume="48",
number="4",
pages="522-537",
abstract="The interrelationships between serious types of crime have been neglected. Focusing on those convicted of arson (n = 45,915), blackmail (n = 5,774), kidnapping (n = 7,291) and threats to kill (n = 9,816) in England and Wales (1979-2001), we examine the specialization and sequencing of these crimes in relation to the risk of subsequent homicide. All four offences have a heightened likelihood of subsequent homicide compared to the general population. Arson, blackmail and threats to kill have a similar homicide risk (0.8 per cent) after a 20-year follow-up; in contrast, kidnapping has a higher likelihood (1.0 per cent). Sequencing is also relevant, with those convicted of more than one type of serious offence being at higher risk of a homicide conviction. Additionally, there is evidence of specialization (particularly for arsonists) among serious offenders who recidivate.<p />",
language="",
issn="0007-0955",
doi="10.1093/bjc/azn028",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azn028"
}